A handful of states - including New York - have several Congressional races considered toss ups. The results could determine who controls the House of Representatives in next year’s midterm elections.
“First midterm elections for a new president has not gone well for the incumbent party,” said Bruce Gyory, a government legal adviser with Manatt, Phelps & Phillips, speaking on the public radio show, The Capitol Pressroom. Since the early 1980s, he said, only one president - George W. Bush - hung on to the majority in the House in that first cycle.
It’s a hopeful sign for the Democratic candidates who have already announced plans to unseat their Republican representatives.
Here in the Southern Tier, there are three main bids for seats currently held by the GOP.
The eighth Democrat announced his candidacy against Rep. John Faso last week.
The people challenging Faso in the midterms are Antonio Delgado from Dutchess County; Brian Flynn from Greene County; and Jeffrey Beals, Steven Brisee, David Clegg, Gareth Rhodes, Pat Ryan and Sue Sullivan from Ulster County.
It's early, but this race seems pretty clear with Assemblyman Anthony Brindisi (D-Utica) challenging Rep. Claudia Tenney.
There was another democratic candidate. Patrick Madden, a Binghamton University professor, dropped out early in July after Brindisi announced plans to run.
"[Brindisi] has the clear support of the Democratic Party," Madden told Syracuse.com. In a statement, Brindisi said he talked with Madden before he withdrew, likes his ideas and plans to work with him on the campaign.
A race between Brindisi and Tenney would be tight, according to Gyory, on the Capitol Pressroom.
“Healthcare could make it close - another district with older demographics. The thing is - will it trigger defections of those moderate Republicans?” said Gyory.
“The schism point in this district has been the right wing of the Republican party, which is Tenney’s base, versus the more moderate Republicans.”
During her first few months in office, Tenney supported the repeal of the Affordable Care Act and its Republican replacement.
Democrats have had a tough time running against Rep. Tom Reed; he’s won re-election four times. In 2016, Reed beat Democratic challenger John Plumb 58-41 percent.
The Ithaca Times has a rundown of the five candidates challenging each other for the chance to face Reed.
The Democratic candidates are Max Della Pia, former Air Force officer and US Senate legislative assistant; Rick Gallant, the former head of the Corning Teachers Association; Ian Golden, a business owner from Ithaca; and John Hertzler, a member of the Ulysses Town Board in Tompkins County; and Eddie Sundquist, an attorney from Chautauqua County.